1题目__澳元的趋势变化及交易策略分析摘要本文主要研究并分析澳元的汇率波动情况、如何交易澳元以及影响澳元的因素。由于各国的经济发展迅速，人们逐渐关注汇率问题，汇率的影响是方方面面的，不但会影响国家的经济和进出口贸易，也会影响外汇储备、世界经济，汇率的坚挺与否反映着一国的经济实力。澳元是全球交易最活跃的货币之一，仅次于美元、英镑、欧元和日元。最近几年，随着中国与澳大利亚的合作关系越来越密切，经济方面也有积极影响，增强了中澳货币汇率变动与物价变动的关联性。澳元汇率时高时低,但总体呈下降趋势,曾经一度跌破4。现如今，各个国家之间的贸易形势复杂，市场情绪不稳定，汇率是最先被影响的经济因素。澳元一直是经济复苏的主要受益者，虽然全世界疫情爆发，但是中国很快采取行动战胜疫情，随着经济强有力的复苏，铁和铜需求增加，价格也创了新高，所以澳大利亚铁矿石的价格上涨在很大程度上受到中国需求推动的影响。关键词：澳元汇率；走势：中国经济；交易；美元；新冠疫情2AbstractThispapermainlystudiesandanalyzestheexchangeratefluctuationsoftheAustraliandollar,howtotradetheAussiedollarandthefactorsthataffectit.Becauseoftherapideconomicdevelopmentofvariouscountries,peoplegraduallypayattentiontotheexchangerateissue,theimpactofexchangerateisinallaspects,notonlywillaffectthecountry'seconomyandimportandexporttrade,butalsoaffectforeignexchangereserves,theworldeconomy,thestrengthoftheexchangeratereflectsacountry'seconomicstrength.TheAustraliandollarisoneofthemostactivelytradedcurrenciesintheworld,aftertheUSdollar,sterling,euroandJapaneseyen.Inrecentyears,asChina'srelationshipwithAustraliahasbecomecloserandmorepositiveontheeconomicfront,thecorrelationbetweencurrencyexchangeratemovementsandpricemovementsbetweenChinaandAustraliahasincreased.TheAustraliandollarwashighandlow,butgenerallyonadownwardtrend,fallingbelow4atonepoint.Today,tradebetweencountriesiscomplex,marketsentimentisvolatileandexchangeratesarethefirsteconomicfactorstobeaffected.TheAustraliandollarhasbeenamajorbeneficiaryoftherecovery,anddespiteoutbreaksaroundtheworld,Chinahasmovedquicklytoovercometheoutbreak,withironandcopperdemandrisingandpriceshittingnewhighsastheeconomyrecoversstrongly,sohigherironorepricesinAustraliahavebeenlargelydrivenbyChinesedemand.Keywords:Australiandollarexchangerate;Trend:Chineseeconomy;TradingDollar:COVID-193目录摘要..............................................................1Abstract............................................................2目录..............................................................3引言..............................................................4一、绪论............................................................1（一）研究目的与意义............................................1（二）国内外研究现状............................................11、国外研究现状..............................................12、国内研究现状..............................................1二、影响澳元走势的因素分析.........................................2（一）货币政策..................................................2（二）澳大利亚的经济...........................................3（三）中国贸易伙伴的关系........................................41、与中国的贸易关系..........................................42、与中国的政治关系..........................................5三、澳元汇率走势分析与预测..........................................5（一）对于2014年澳元汇率的走势分析.............................5（二）对于2017年澳元汇率的走势分析...
