汇率变动对南京市出口结构影响的实证分析内容摘要汇率（又称外汇利率，外汇汇率或外汇行市）两种货币之间的对换的比率，亦可视为一个国家的货币对另一种货币的价值。汇率又是各个国家为了达到其政治目的的金融手段。汇率会因为利率，通货膨胀，国家的政治和每个国家的经济等原因而变动。而汇率是由外汇市场决定。一国外汇行市的升降，对进出口贸易和经济结构、生产布局等会产生影响。汇率是国际贸易中最重要的调节杠杆，汇率下降，能起到促进出口、抑制进口的作用。南京市地处中国东部沿海地区，有着丰富的地理资源。作为中国对外贸易发展迅速的城市之一，南京市在我国出口贸易中扮演了举足轻重的角色，出口贸易对南京市解决社会就业、民计民生、实现可持续发展至关重要。因此探求人民币汇率变动对出口结构的影响对于把握出口创汇及制定出口贸易决策有着积极的指导意义。本文从南京市出口结构情况及人民币汇率变动情况入手；把汇率变动对南京市出口结构的作用进行介绍，即资本技术密集型出口商品比例偏低、出口商品附加值低、高资源消耗产品出口比重过高、产业结构限制出口商品结构升级，并通过构建模式论述汇率变动对南京市出口结构影响的实证分析。最后得出结论，并提出南京市出口贸易结构优化的对策，即实施“科技兴贸”、调整商品出口结构，巩固一般贸易优势、加快加工贸易发展，优化市场结构、抓好市场深度开发，加强生态环保、开展“绿色贸易”。关键词：出口结构；汇率变动；对外贸易ABSTRACTExchangerate(alsocalledforeignexchangerates,foreignexchangeorforeignexchangemarketexchangeratebetweentwocurrencies,canalsobeseenasacountry'scurrencytoanothercurrencyvalue.Exchangerateandvariouscountriesinordertoachievetheirpoliticalobjectivesoffinancialinstruments.Exchangeratebecauseinterestrates,inflation,thecountry'spoliticalandeconomicreasonssuchaschangesofeachcountry.Theexchangerateisdecidedbytheforeignexchangemarket.Theriseandfallofacountry'sforeignexchangemarket,theimportandexporttradeandeconomicstructure,productionlayoutwillaffect.Exchangerateisthemostimportantleverageininternationaltrade,exchangeratedrops,canplaytheroleofpromotingexportsandcurbimports.NanJingChinesecityislocatedineasterncoastalarea,hasabundantgeographical.Asaoneofthecity'srapiddevelopmentofChina'sforeigntrade,acityinChina'sexporttradeplayedapivotalrole,theexporttradeofacitysolvesocialemployment,people'slivelihoodandrealizethesustainabledevelopmentisveryimportant.ThereforetheresearchoftheRMBexchangeratechangesontheexportstructureeffecttograsptheexportandhaspositivesignificanceinguidingthedevelopmentofexporttradepolicy.ThispaperfirstanalyzesthestatusquoofexportstructurechangesintheRMBexchangerateandNanJing;thenintroducedtheinfluenceofexchangerateonexportstructureofNanJingCity,whichiscapitalintensiveexportcommodity,lowproportionofexportsoflowvalue-added,highresourceconsumption,highproportionofexportsofindustrialstructurelimitstheupgradingofthestructureofexportcommodities,andbyconstructingmodelsofexchangeratechangesinexportstructureeffectonNanJingempiricalanalysis.finallydrawstheconclusion,andputsforwardcountermeasuresforoptimizingNanJingexporttradestructure,namelytheimplementationofscienceandtechnologytrade,adjusttheexportstructure,consolidatethegeneraltradeadvantages,acceleratethedevelopmentofprocessingtrade,optimizethemarketstructure,graspthedepthofmarketdevelopment,strengthenenvironmentalprotection,carryout"greentrade".Keywords:exportstructure;exchangerate;foreigntrade目录引言................................................................................................................................9一、汇率...
