南京禄口空港物流产业发展对策研究摘要全球化程度加剧，机场地位越发凸显出来，各界开始重视机场周围的产业区建设，这些产业演变进化为城市新的经济增长点。物流产业作为禄口空港的重要临空产业，起着推动空港发展的作用，因此，它也开始探寻长远发展的有效途径。本文首先采用灰色预测对南京禄口空港的货邮吞吐量进行预测，指明了它的发展前景和研究价值。接着采用SWOT分析法对禄口空港优势和劣势进行分析，分析表明，禄口空港具有交通便利、地理位置优越的优点，也面临着同行业竞争和可替代的威胁。最终按照预测和分析的结果，从实际出发，对禄口空港物流产业如何发展提出可行性建议。【关键词】禄口空港；空港物流；SWOT分析法；灰色预测ResearchontheDevelopmentofLukouAirportLogisticsIndustryinNanjingAbstractThedegreeofglobalizationhasintensifiedandthestatusoftheairporthasbecomemoreprominent.Allsectorsbegantopayattentiontotheairportaroundtheindustrialareaconstruction,theevolutionoftheseindustriesevolvedintothecity'sneweconomicgrowthpoint.Thelogisticsindustry,asanimportantairportinLukouAirport,playsaroleinpromotingthedevelopmentofairports.Therefore,italsobegantoexploretheeffectivewayoflong-termdevelopment.ThispaperfirstusesthegrayforecasttoforecastthecargoandmailthroughputofNanjingLukouAirport,andpointsoutitsdevelopmentprospectandresearchvalue.Then,theSWOTanalysismethodisusedtoanalyzetheadvantagesanddisadvantagesofLukouAirport.TheanalysisshowsthatLukouAirporthastheadvantagesofconvenienttransportationandfavorablegeographicallocation,andalsofacescompetitionandsubstitutablethreatsinthesameindustry.Finally,accordingtotheresultsoftheforecastandanalysis,fromthereality,thedevelopmentofLukouairportlogisticsindustryputforwardfeasiblerecommendations.【Keywords】Lukouairport;airportlogistics;SWOTanalysismethod;grayprediction目录一、绪论..........................................................................................................................................1（一）研究背景、目的与意义...............................................................................................1（二）国内外研究综述..........................................................................................................1二、南京禄口空港物流产业现状及发展前景...............................................................................3（一）南京禄口空港物流产业现状.......................................................................................3（二）南京禄口空港货运量预测...........................................................................................4三、南京禄口空港物流产业SWOT分析.........................................................................................8（一）优势分析......................................................................................................................9（二）劣势分析....................................................................................................................10（三）机会分析....................................................................................................................11（四）威胁分析....................................................................................................................12四、南京禄口空港物流产业发展具体对策.................................................................................12（一）开拓新的货运市场...............................................................................................
