徐州市产业结构转型对低碳经济的贡献摘要采用分解分析模型，探讨1995-2015年再生性资源型城市徐州的工业结构转型对低碳经济的贡献。结果表明，资源密集型行业产值比重大幅下降，其主导地位已由迅速上升的资金密集型行业所取代，劳动密集型行业小幅下降，技术密集型行业则保持相对平稳的状态；研究期内工业碳排放量与工业规模的变化具有一致性，但碳排放的增速远小于工业经济的增速，呈现相对脱钩状态，且工业碳排放强度呈大幅下降趋势；资源密集型行业尤其是煤炭开采与洗选业的低碳化对工业低碳转型贡献程度大，高、低碳行业构成的变化与碳排放强度的差距收窄可以看出工业能源利用效率的提高推动低碳经济的发展，碳排放量的下降由规模因素与技术因素共同推动，技术因素对低碳经济的贡献明显高于的规模因素，为促进工业低碳化转型的主要驱动力。为此，徐州应进一步调整工业结构，提升低碳的技术密集型行业比重，淘汰落后产能与技术，对工业行业低碳技术进行研发与应用。该论文有图2幅，表6个，参考文献16篇。关键词：工业结构转型工业碳排放分解分析模型低碳经济TheContributionofIndustrialStructureTransformationtoLow-carbonEconomyinXuzhouAbstractAdoptingdocompositionanalysismodel,thisarticlemainlydiscussesthecontributionoftherenewableresourcecity——Xuzhou’sindustrialstructuretransformationtolow-carboneconomyfrom1995to2015.Itcanbefoundthattheproportionofoutputvalueofresourceintensiveindustrydecreasedsignificantly,itsdominancehasbeenreplacedbyarapidlyrisingcapitalintensiveindustry,laborintensiveindustrydeclinedslightly,tech-intensiveindustrytomaintainareletivelystablestate;Duringthestudyperiod,theindustrialcarbonemissionsareconsistentwiththeindustrialscale,butthegrowthrateofcarbonemissionsisfarlessthanthegrowthrateofindustrialeconomy,ittakesonastateofrelativedecoupling,industrialcarbonintensityshowedasignificantdownwardtrend;Theresourceintensiveindustry,especiallycoalminingandwashingindustry,haveagreatcontributiontolow-carbontransition,thechangeofthecompositionofthehighandlow-carbonindustriesandthenarrowingofthegapofcarbonemissionsintensitycanbeseenthattheimprovementoftheefficiencyofindustrialenergyutilizationpromotesthedevelopmentoflow-carboneconomy,thedeclineincarbonemissionsisdrivenbybothscaleandtechnicalfactor,thecontributionoftechnicalfactortolow-carboneconomyishigherthanthatofscale,itisthemaindrivingforcetopromotethetransformationofindustriallowcarbonization.Therefor,Xuzhoushouldfurtheradjusttheindustrialstructure,enhancetheproportionoflow-carbontech-intensiveindustry,eliminatebackwardproductioncapacityandtechnology,developmentandapplicationoflow-carbontechnologyinindustry.Thisthesiscontains2figures,6tablesand16references.KeyWords:TransformationofindustrialstructureIndustrialcarbonemissionDecompositionanalysismodelLow-carboneconomy目录摘要----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ⅠAbstract-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ⅱ目录----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ⅲ前言----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------11研究区概况----------------------------------------------------------------------------------22研究方法和数据来源----------------------------------------------------------------------22.1研究方法-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------22.2数据来源-------------------------------------...
