题目：人民币汇率的变动对我国出口商品结构的影响及对策摘要近年来，中国经济高速增长，对外开放程度不断加深，国际贸易的规模和地位发生了翻天覆地的变化。随着人民币汇率与我国外贸联系日益密切，其波动不仅影响着我国的贸易平衡，而且也推动着我国出口商品结构的变革。面对当前人民币汇率小幅且稳定升值的现状，只研究总量变化是不够的，也不能表现汇率变动对各种商品类别的影响作用，因此研究汇率对出口商品结构的影响是非常必要的。本文运用理论与实证的分析方法，研究：自2005年我国汇率制度改革以来，人民币升值对我国的出口贸易及外贸结构的影响并为我国出口商品结构优化升级提出切实可行的建议。关键词：人民币汇率；出口商品结构；影响；对策TheInfluenceofRMBExchangeRateChangesonChina'sExportCommodityStructureandSuggestionsAbstract：Inrecentyears,China’seconomyhasgrownatarapidrateandthedegreeofopeningtotheoutsideworldhascontinuedtodeepen.Thescaleandstatusofinternationaltradehaveundergoneearth-shakingchanges.AstheRMBexchangeratebecomesmoreandmorecloselylinkedwithChina'sforeigntrade,itsfluctuationnotonlyaffectsChina'stradebalance,butalsopromotesthetransformationofChina'sexportcommoditystructure.FacedwiththecurrentsituationofasmallandstableappreciationoftheRMBexchangerate,itisnotenoughtostudychangesinthetotalamount,norcanitreflecttheimpactofexchangeratechangesonvariouscommoditycategories.Therefore,itisnecessarytostudytheimpactofexchangeratesonthestructureofexportcommodities.ThispaperusestheoreticalandempiricalanalysismethodstostudytheimpactofRMBappreciationonChina’sexporttradeandforeigntradestructuresincethereformofChina’sexchangeratesystemin2005,andputsforwardpracticalsuggestionsfortheoptimizationandupgradingofChina’sexportcommoditystructure.Keywords:RMBexchangerate;exportcommoditystructure;influence;countermeasure目录一、引言..........................................................................................................................................1二、汇率变动对出口商品结构影响的基本理论.........................................................................1（二）汇率和出口商品结构的基本概念.......................................................................................11、汇率的相关概念.........................................................................................................12、我国出口商品结构的相关概念.................................................................................2（一）汇率变动对出口商品结构影响的相关理论分析.....................................................31.马歇尔一勒纳条件........................................................................................................32.J曲线效应.....................................................................................................................4三、人民币汇率变动对我国出口商品结构的影响.......................................................................6（一）人民币汇率变动的趋势分析.......................................................................................61.人民币汇率的发展状况［２］.........................................................................................62.我国人民币汇率升值的原因........................................................................................6（二）我国出口商品结构现状分析.......................................................................................71.初级产品比重下降，制成品比重上升.........................................
