决策科学与管理

決策科學與管理國立中山大學社會科學院政治學研究所碩士班授課教師：張錫模中山大學社科院中山所副教授俄羅斯聯邦莫斯科大學政治學博士gertsen@mail.nsysu.edu.tw07-5252000#5519高雄‧臺灣Please Write the Following1. Interests (whether in decision sciences or elsewhere).2. What course you have taken to this point that may pertain to decision sciences (level and course)?3. Why did you take this course? Your phone number and e-mail as well (get e-mail, it’s free).Course Description Strategic decisions can be characterized by the extent to which they have enduring effects, are broad in scope and are difficult to reverse. Such decisions can be taken with little forethought but in most organizations are facilitated by a strategic planning process. The purpose of this course is to introduce and explore the range of models and analytical techniques that are available to support the strategic planning process, decision-making and the management of decision implementation. The course starts with a model of the strategic planning process itself that identifies the essential elements of a strategic planning process and is then uses as an organizing framework for the models and analytical techniques. The topics covered by the lectures include strategic thinking, pro-active strategic decision-making process, SWOT analysis, net assessment, game theory, dynamic planning, scenario development, risk analysis, and crisis management. Every course-attendant would be required to take part in gaming and scenario writing.目錄 緒言：教師對學生的期許與要求10 第一章 導論11 第一節 決策與哲學11 第二節、思考力決勝的時代16 第三節 決策科學的基本架構20 附論：決策科學的學問史21 第二章 問題分析術26 第一節、決策陷阱與決策分析的程序27 第二節、組織環境內的決策思維28 第三節 決策與問題30 第四節 狀況評...