对外贸易、人口结构对浙江省城乡收入差异的影响浙江财经学院金樟峰、斯亮、刘彧茜摘要：本文以浙江省城乡收入差异为研究对象，通过对浙江省城乡收入差异、对外贸易和人口结构的现状描述，探究对外贸易、人口结构与地区城乡收入差异之间的变动规律，并运用面板数据模型进一步研究对外贸易和人口结构变动对地区城乡收入差异的影响。研究结果显示：1、对外进出口贸易能缩小地区内部的城乡收入差异；2、60周岁以下人口比例的增加会扩大城乡收入差距，其中18周岁以上35周岁以下的人口比例变动影响最为明显，而60周岁以上人口比例的增加会缩小城乡收入差距；3、尽管各地区内部的城乡收入差异逐年下降，但全省的城乡收入差异并未明显下降，且东北地区的城乡收入差异明显小于西南地区的城乡收入差异。关键词：城乡收入差异；对外贸易；人口结构；面板数据模型TheEffectofTradeandAgeStructureontheIncomeGapBetweenRuralandUrbanResidentsofZhejiangProvinceAbstract:Thepaperdocumentstheeffectoftradeandagestructureupontheincomegapbetweenruralandurbanresidentswiththemethodofdescriptivestatisticalanalysisandeconometricmodel.theresultsareasfollows:firstly，thetradehasannegativeeffectontheincomegapbetweenruralandurbanresidentsofregionofZhejiangProvince;secondly,theincreaseoftheagebelow60willbroadentheincomegapbetweenruralandurbanresidents,amongwhichtheeffectoftheageabove35andbelow60appeartobethemostsignificant.Besides,theageabove60tendtodecreasethegap;thirdly,theincomegapbetweenruralandurbanresidentsofZhejiangProvincetendstobelargerwhilethatoftheregiontendstobesmaller,what’smore,theincomegapbetweenruralandurbanresidentsismoreobviousintheregionofsouthwestthanthatofnortheast.Keywords:incomegapbetweenruralandurbanresidents;trade;structureofage;paneldata目录1引言.........................................................................................................................12浙江省城乡收入差异现状.........................................................................................22.1城乡收入差异..................................................................................................22.2浙江省城乡收入差异现状..............................................................................32.2.1全省城乡收入差异现状.......................................................................32.2.2各地区城乡收入差异现状...................................................................43浙江省对外贸易和人口结构现状.............................................................................73.1全省对外贸易和人口结构现状......................................................................73.2各地区对外贸易和人口结构的现状..............................................................83.2.1对外贸易...............................................................................................83.2.3人口结构.............................................................................................114对外贸易、人口结构对浙江省城乡收入差异的影响...........................................134.1面板模型介绍................................................................................................144.2实证分析........................................................................................................164.3模型小结........................................................................................................185结论与建议...............................................................................................................205....
