人民币汇率对中国出口的影响研究摘要随着我国经济的对外开放程度不断加深，进出口贸易行业也随之高速发展。截至到2015年，我国出口贸易行业的增幅远远领先于国内生产总值的增幅。与此同时，我国也实现了从经济发展初期的贸易逆差向改革开放后的贸易顺差的转变。特别是近些年来，我国的外贸行业不仅连年稳定地增长，还在整个出口结构等方面发生了变化，我国的出口贸易结构越来越倾向于高新技术产业，并且通过对中国与各种贸易情况的分析发现，我国与各国的贸易伙伴会受到各种因素在不同程度上的影响，贸易关系并不稳定。汇率是调节进出口贸易最有效的货币工具，我国对于人民币汇率机制的探索从未停止脚步，在每一个关键的历史时期，中国政府都将人民币汇率机制根据当时的国情及经济形势进行更新调节。时至今日，中国所施行的人民币汇率机制赋予人民币汇率较强的弹性，以此，用以适应我国出口行业在未来将面临的严峻环境。随着经济全球化不断加深，人民币走向国际将是必然，汇率市场将挣脱现有的管制变得更加开放，开放的同时也意味着使人民币汇率变动的因素将增多，因此在这种形势下，详细分析人民币汇率变动的因素、我国出口贸易的现状及可能存在的风险，为在汇率变动下的出口行业提供相关解决问题的建议。关键词：汇率；出口；影响；研究ResearchontheImpactofRMBExchangeRateonChina'sExportsABSTRACTAsthedegreeofopennessofChina'seconomycontinuestodeepen,theimportandexporttradeindustryhasalsodevelopedatahighspeed.Asof2015,thegrowthrateofChina'sexporttradeindustryisfaraheadoftheincreaseinGDP.Atthesametime,Chinahasalsorealizedthetransitionfromthetradedeficitintheearlystageofeconomicdevelopmenttothetradesurplusafterthereformandopeningup.Especiallyinrecentyears,China'sforeigntradeindustryhasnotonlygrownsteadilyyearafteryear,butalsohaschangedintheentireexportstructure.China'sexporttradestructureisincreasinglyinclinedtohigh-techindustries,andthroughChinaandvarioustradesituations.TheanalysisfoundthatChinaanditstradingpartnersareaffectedbyvariousfactorstovaryingdegrees,andtraderelationsarenotstable.Theexchangerateisthemosteffectivecurrencytoolforregulatingimportandexporttrade.China'sexplorationoftheRMBexchangeratemechanismhasneverstopped.Ineverykeyhistoricalperiod,theChinesegovernmenthasupdatedandadjustedtheRMBexchangeratemechanismaccordingtothenationalconditionsandeconomicsituationatthattime.Todate,theRMBexchangeratemechanismimplementedbyChinahasgiventheRMBexchangerateastrongelasticity,inordertoadapttothesevereenvironmentthatChina'sexportindustrywillfaceinthefuture.Astheeconomicglobalizationcontinuestodeepen,therenminbiwillbecomeinevitableintheinternationalarena.Theexchangeratemarketwillbecomemoreopentotheexistingregulations.Openingupalsomeansthatthefactorsthatwillchangetherenminbiexchangeratewillincrease.Therefore,inthissituation,AdetailedanalysisofthefactorsofRMBexchangeratechanges,thestatusquoofChina'sexporttradeandpossiblerisks,andsuggestionsforsolvingproblemsintheexportindustryunderexchangeratechanges.Keywords：exchangerate;export;influence;research目录摘要........................................................................2ABSTRACT......................................................................31绪论.......................................................................51.1研究背景及意义........................................................51.2研究的思路与内容......................................................51.3研究的方法与数据......................................................62汇率及国际贸易收支相关理论..................................................
