目 录摘要：..............................................................2关键词：............................................................2Abstract.............................................................2Keywords...........................................................2一、引言............................................................2二、讨论问题和讨论方法..............................................3〔一〕居民消费价格指数及灰色理论概念..............................3〔二〕本文的讨论问题..............................................4〔三〕灰色预测模型简介............................................41、灰色系统理论概述......................................................................................................42、GM(1,1)模型的建立....................................................................................................53、模型检验........................................................................................................................6〔四〕讨论方法的思路..............................................7三、江苏省居民消费价格指数的实证分析................................8〔一〕江苏省 CPI 指数的灰色预测....................................81、预测模型确立...............................................................................................................82、模型检验........................................................................................................................93、江苏省未来 3 个月 CPI 预测...................................................................................11〔二〕江苏省 CPI 影响因素的关联度分析.............................121、序列构造......................................................................................................................132、求解关联度..................................................................................................................133、八大类商品对 CPI 影响的灰色关联序.....................................................
