能源学专业 某市经济发展与能源消耗关系的分析研究

天津市经济发展与能源消耗关系的分析研究摘要：自改革开放以来，天津市能源消耗对整个天津市的经济发展起到了重要的支撑作用。在天津市经济规模进一步扩大的今天，对能源的需求也在不断加大，经济发展与能源消耗的矛盾也就日渐显现出来。通过对天津市经济发展与能源消耗的相互关系研究，建立两者之间的关系模型。提出了政府在加强节能降耗工作中不可替代的作用，应加快节能降耗相应技术的开发和普及应用，不断降低经济发展对能源消耗的依赖程度等政策建议。关键词：能源消耗 经济发展 协整方程 Analysis and research on the relationship between economic development and energy consumption in tianjin.Abstract :Since the reform and opening up, tianjin energy consumption has played an important supporting role in the economic development of tianjin. As the economic scale of tianjin expands further, the demand for energy is increasing, and the contradiction between economic development and energy consumption is becoming increasingly apparent. Through the study of the relationship between economic development and energy consumption in tianjin, the relationship model between the two is established. Proposed the government an irreplaceable role in strengthening energy saving work, should speed up the corresponding energy saving and consumption reducing technology development and popularization applications of falling economic development degree of dependence on energy consumption policy Suggestions.Key words :Energy consumption economic development co-integration equation.目录一、引言..............................................5二、天津市经济发展与能源消耗状况......................5三、建立模型..........................................6（一）模型中数据的选取与处理.......................6（二） 单位根检验..................................7（三） Granger 因果关系检验.........................7（四）协整检验.....................................8（五）建立协整方程.......................