Practicallyallpeople(21)adesiretopredicttheirfuture(22).Peopleseeminclinedto(23)thistaskusingcausalreasoning.First,wegenerally(24)thatfuturecircumstancesare(25)causedorconditionedbypresent(26).Welearnthatgettinganeducationwill(27)howmuchmoneyweearnlaterinlifeandthatswimmingbeyondthereefmaybringanunhappy(28)withashark.Second,peoplealsolearnthatsuch(29)ofcauseandeffectareprobabilisticinnature.Thatis,theeffectsoccurmoreoftenwhenthecausesoccurthanwhenthecausesare(30)-butnotalways.(31),studentslearnthatstudyinghard(32)goodgradesinmostinstances,butnoteverytime.Sciencemakestheseconceptsofcausalityandprobabilitymoreexplicitand(33)techniquesfordealing(34)themmorerigorouslythandoescausalhumaninquiry.Itsharpenstheskillswealreadyhavebymakingusmoreconscious,rigorous,andexplicitinourinquiries.Inlookingatordinaryhumaninquiry,weneedto(35)betweenpredictionandunderstanding.Often,wecanmakepredictionswithoutunderstanding.Andoften,evenifwedon’tunderstandwhy,wearewillingtoact(36)thebasisofademonstratedpredictiveability.Whatevertheprimitivedrivesorinstinctsthat(37)humanbeings,satisfyingthemdependsheavilyontheabilitytopredictfuturecircumstances.Theattempttopredictisoftenplayedina(38)ofknowledgeandunderstanding.Ifyoucanunderstandwhythingsarerelatedtooneanother,whycertainregularpatterns(39),youcanpredictbetterthanifyousimplyobserveandrememberthosepatterns.Thus,humaninquiryaims(40)answeringboth“what”and“why”questions,andwepursuethesegoalsbyobservingandfiguringout.21.[A]exhibit[B]exaggerate[C]examine[D]exceed22.[A]contexts[B]circumstances[C]cases[D]intuitions23.[A]underestimateB]undermine[C]undertake[D]undergo24.[A]recall[B]recede[C]reckon[D]recognize25.[A]somehow[B]somewhat[C]someone[D]something26.[A]one[B]ones[C]one’s[D]oneself27.[A]effect[B]affect[C]affection[D]decide28.[A]meeting[B]occurrence[C]encounter[D]sighting29.[A]patterns[B]designs[C]arrangements[D]pictures30.[A]absence[B]absent[C]accent[D]access31.[A]Thus[B]Sothat[C]However[D]Inaddition32.[A]producing[B]produces[C]produce[D]produced33.[A]prevent[B]produce[C]provide[D]predict34.[A]for[B]at[C]in[D]with35.[A]distinguish[B]distinct[C]distort[D]distract36.[A]at[B]on[C]to[D]under37.[A]motion[B]motive[C]motivate[D]activate38.[A]contour[B]contact[C]contest[D]context39.[A]happen[B]occur[C]occupy[D]incur40.[A]at[B]on[C]to[D]beyond21.[A]exhibit此处意为“表现出”，相当于display或者show。其他选项中：[B]exaggerate“夸张，夸大”；[C]examine“检查，研究”；[D]exceed“超越，超出”，均不符合题意。22.[B]circumstances此处意为“情况，境况”。其他选项中[A]context“上下文，背景”。[D]intuition“直觉”，均不符合题意。23.[C]undertake意为“从事”。其他选项中[A]underestimate“低估”，[B]undermine“削弱”[D]undergo“经历”和undertake的区别在于，undertake强调“主动做某事”。Undergo一般是被动地经历某事。24.[D]recognize此处意为“认识到，承认”，近义词为realize。其他选项，[A]recall“回忆起，想起”，[B]recede“后退，衰退，衰落”，[C]reckon“认为”，均不符合题意。25.[A]somehow副词“由于某种原因，以某种方式，用某种办法，莫名其妙地…”，[B]somewhat“稍微，有点”。选[A]。26.[B]ones此处应该用one的复数形式代替circumstances。27.[B]affect为动词，意为“影响”。该动词的名词形式为effect。[C]affection本身是名词，意为“感情，爱好，影响”。28.[C]encounter此处为名词，意为“碰见，不期而遇”。该词也可以当动词使用。[A]meeting一般指实现安排好的“会议，约见”等。[B]occurrence为occu...
