摘要近年来,随着社会经济的高速发展,基础设施越来越完善。与此同时,地质灾害给人民生命财产安全及各类设施造成的破坏越来越严重。在各类地质灾害中,滑坡的发生频率及危害程度均排名前列。滑坡灾害的发生机理与地震相似,具有突发性、难预报性、紧急性、破坏性、连锁性、社会性、多样性和不可抗拒性等特点。滑坡灾害危害巨大而想要准确地预测又较为困难,灾后及时有效地做好应急处置是实现减灾和挽救人民生命财产安全的关键。在灾后应急处置工程中,对灾害危险性和救援难易度的把握是重中之重。现有的研究对滑坡灾害的评估大多侧重于空间信息,本研究将引入人文及地理信息,提出一套滑坡灾害救援难易度的评价指标,并通过云模型将结果通过自然语言呈现,以供没有地学专业知识的相关人员快速了解滑坡的救援难易程度。主要研究工作如下:(1)对已有文献进行分析,结合近年发生的历次滑坡数据,分析、归纳、总结滑坡评价指标,融合空间、人文、地理信息,形成一套完整可用的滑坡评价指标。通过基于博弈论的组合赋权法对主观与客观权重计算方法进行结合,综合计算各指标在滑坡救援难易度评价中所占的权重。(2)通过云变换从定量滑坡历史数据中提取救援难易度的定性概念,该方法充分考虑了概念之间的亦此亦彼性,完成了“定量到定性”、“数据到知识”的转换。云变换充分考虑了实际数据分布情况,解决了基于专家评价方法的缺点。通过云变换所获取的各定性概念的云数字特征也是综合评价滑坡救援难易度的基础。(3)通过各救援难易度云模型特征,利用正向云发生器,建立救援难易度评估标准云,结合各指标权重对滑坡救援难易度进行综合评估。利用一次真实滑坡数据及滑坡历史数据对模型的准确性、可用性进行分析。关键词:滑坡救援;云模型;云变换;组合赋权AbstractInrecentyears,withtherapiddevelopmentofChina'seconomy,thedamagecausedbygeologicaldisasterstopeople'slivesandpropertyandinfrastructurehasbecomemoreandmoreserious.Amongallkindsofgeologicaldisasters,thedegreeofhazardoflandslidesrankshigh.Itissimilartoearthquakes,mainlydevelopedinmountainousareas.Likeothernaturaldisasters,itissudden,difficulttopredict,urgent,destructive,chain,andsocial.diversityandirresistibility.Landslidehazardsarehugeanditisdifficulttoaccuratelypredictthem.Itisthekeytorealizingdisasterreductionandsavingpeople'slivesandpropertybytimelyandeffectiveemergencyresponse.Inthepost-disasteremergencyresponseproject,thegraspofdisasterriskandrescuedifficultyisthetoppriority.Theexistingresearchesonlandslidedisastersmostlyfocusonspatialinformation.Thisstudywillintroducehumanitiesandgeographicinformation,proposeasetofevaluationindicatorsforlandslidedisasterrescuedifficulty,andpresenttheresultsinnaturallanguagethroughcloudmodels.Non-professionalswithoutgeoscientificknowledgequicklyunderstandtheeaseofrescueoflandslides.Themainresearchworkisasfollows:(1)Analyzetheexistingliterature,combinethepreviouslandslidedata,analyze,summarizeandsummarizethelandslideevaluationindicatorstoformacompletesetofavailablelandslideevaluationindicators.Throughthecombinedweightingmethodbasedongametheory,theresultsobtainedbysubjectiveanalytichierarchyprocessandobjectiveentropyweightmethodareintegrated,andtheweightsofeachindexintheevaluationoflandsliderescuedifficultyarecomprehensivelycalculated.(2)Extractingthequalitativeconceptoflandsliderescuedifficultyfromthehistoricaldataofquantitativelandslidebycloudtransformation,thismethodfullyconsiderstheconceptofthesame,andcompletesthe“quantitativetoqualitative”and“datatoknowledge”Conversion.Itsolvestheshortcomingsofthetraditionalexpertevaluationmethodwithoutconsideringtheactualdatadistribution.Thedigitalcharacteristicsofthecloudmo...