目录一、宏观经济政策环境..................................................................................................................31.1宏观经济环境概述......................................................................................................................31.1.1国际经济环境——欧美经济出现分化........................................31.1.2中国经济环境——投资拉动作用暂令全年经济企稳,但长期带动作用不可取......41.1.3明年政策走向:稳货币、宽财政...........................................51.2政策环境......................................................................................................................................61.2.1行业政策:坚守“控房价”目标始终如一....................................61.2.2地方政策:鼓励刚性需求入市,紧抓“救市最后一根槄草”....................81.2.3明年楼市政策预判:放松机会不大,新政仍是“达摩克利斯之剑”.............101.3.佛山经济政策环境....................................................................................................................101.3.1佛山经济:陷入内外需求不足,各项指标处于五年来最低水平.................101.3.2佛山政策环境:三旧改造优惠延续.........................................12二、佛山重点规划及市政建设.....................................................................................................132.1产业改造与升级........................................................................................................................132.2片区规划与改造.......................................................................................................................162.3交通物流建设............................................................................................................................22三、土地市场...............................................................................................................................283.1土地成交大增,为未来楼市提振信心.....................................................................................283.2商住地块成新宠,城市综合体模式盛行.................................................................................293.3溢价率回调,土地市场良性竞争.............................................................................................313.4规模地块预告区域发展重心....................................................................................................323.5品牌发展商加速扩张,本土企业稳步发展,竞争越趋激烈.................................................333.6土地市场对未来1-2年楼市的影响.........................................................................................35四、住宅市场...............................................................................................................................364.1大佛山市场运行态势:市场回暖,房价现反弹苗头.............................................................364.1.1大佛山市场运行情况....................................................364.1.2五区市场运行情况.......................................................394.1.3大佛山市场产品结构分析.................................................414.1.4大佛山全年推售分析.....................................................424.1.5大佛山2013年推货预测..................................................464.2五区市场运行态势分析...........................................................................