一.产业发展特征..........................................................................................................................21.1 电力弹性系数................................................................................................................21.2 电网................................................................................................................................3二.产业发展状况及其趋势...........................................................................................................32.1 电力供给及其结构.........................................................................................................32.2 电力需求及其结构.........................................................................................................52.3 电力紧缺形势及其成因.................................................................................................7(一)缺电形势..............................................................................................................7(二)缺电原因..............................................................................................................82.4 电力产业需求预测.........................................................................................................9(一)未来电力需求预测分析.......................................................................................9(二)电力紧缺形势预测.............................................................................................11三.产业政策环境.........................................................................................................................113.1 行业“十五”计划.......................................................................................................11(一)总体目标.............................................................................................................11(二)具体措施........................................................................