大连海事大学毕业论文二〇一二年六月┊┊┊┊┊┊┊装┊┊┊┊┊┊┊订┊┊┊┊┊┊┊线II基于区域经济的区域物流需求分析专业班级：航运管理姓名：指导教师：交通运输管理学院摘要随着社会的进步和发展，物流业在居民的生活中发挥着越来越重要的作用。对物流需求的预测能有效的提高企业效率，整合物流资源。鉴于区域的物流与当地经济间有着不可分割的联系，因此，研究基于区域经济的区域物流需求显得尤为重要。本文首先分析了区域物流的内涵，定性分析阐述区域经济和区域物流的关系，继而采用神经网络模型进行定量研究，最后本文以大连为例，分析大连物流现状，研究大连市物流需求与大连经济发展之间的关系，并得出结论。结果表明，大连物流需求与第一产业产值、第二产业产值、第三产业产值、全社会固定资产投资总额、零售总额、居民消费水平有相关性，因此，大连物流需求量可以用这6项指标来预测。关键词：区域物流需求；区域经济；人工神经网络IAbstractWithsocialprogressanddevelopment,thelogisticsindustryinpeople'slifeplaysamoreandmoreimportantrole.Thepredictionoflogisticsdemandcaneffectivelyimprovetheenterpriseefficiencyandtheintegrationoflogisticsresources,Inviewoftheregionallogisticsandthelocaleconomyitsinseparableconnectionbetween,Therefore,thestudyofregionaleconomybasedonregionallogisticsdemandisparticularlyimportant.Thispaperfirstlyanalyzestheconnotationoftheregionallogistics.Thequalitativeanalysisofregionaleconomyandexpoundstherelationshipbetweentheregionallogistics,andthenusingneuralnetworkmodelforquantitativestudy.Finally,thispaperuseDalianasanexample,analysesthepresentsituationofDalianlogistics,theDalianlogisticsdemandandDalianeconomicdevelopment,andtherelationshipbetweenconclusions.TheresultsshowthatDalianlogisticsdemandandthefirstindustry,outputvalueofthesecondaryindustry,outputvalueofthethirdindustry,outputvalueofinvestmentinfixedassetsinthewholesociety,thetotalretailsales,consumptionratehaverelevance,therefore,Dalianlogisticsdemandcanusethis6indicatorstopredict.Keywords:Regionallogisticsdemand；Regionaleconomic；ArtificialneuralnetworkII目录第1章绪论.............................................................................................................11.1研究背景...............................................................................................11.2文献回顾...............................................................................................11.2.1区域物流和区域经济发展的关系.................................................11.2.2物流需求分析.................................................................................21.3研究目的与意义...................................................................................31.4研究思路及内容...................................................................................4第2章区域物流的基本概念...............................................................................52.1区域物流...............................................................................................52.1.1区域物流的涵义..............................................................................52.1.2区域物流的基本特征......................................................................52.2区域物流的基本内容...........................................................................62.2.1区域物流的组成和分类..................................................................62.2.2区域物流的业务类型......................................................................82.2.3区...
