大丰港港口物流发展对策研究摘要一个国家的经济发展中，物流业发挥着不可或缺的作用。港口物流不仅可以动员港口经济，还可以促进城市的对外贸易实力，保证经济的快速发展。2006年6月大丰港获批成为国家一类对外开放口岸，港口发展逐步上升到国家战略层次在这个前提下，本文对大丰港物流发展的基本情况进行详细的阐述，再运用SWOT分析法对大丰港的自身优劣、劣势、机遇和威胁进行了深度分析，并且在当前大丰港港口货物吞吐量的基础上，运用灰色预测模型对未来三年货物吞吐量进行预测分析，从而对大丰港的港口物流发展提出一些具有针对性的对策与建议【关键词】大丰港；港口物流；SWOT分析法；灰色预测模型ResearchonDevelopmentCountermeasureofDafengPortLogisticsAbstractInthedevelopmentofthenationaleconomy,thelogisticsindustry’sroleisveryimportant.Portlogisticscannotonlymakeaporteconomywasmobilized,butalsocanpromotethecity’sforeigntradestrengthofcontinuousimprovement,toensurethehealthyandfastdevelopmentofeconomyin2006,Dafengportisanationalclassoneopenport,theportdevelopmentgraduallyrosetonationalstrategy,underthispremise,thisarticleelaboratesthebasicsituationofDafengportlogistics,AndthenuseSWOTanalysisofDafengHongKong'sownadvantagesanddisadvantages,disadvantages,opportunitiesandthreatsin-depthanalysis,basedonthecurrentcargothroughputofDafengport,thegrayforecastingmodelisusedtoforecastandanalyzethecargothroughputofthenextthreeyears.SoastoputforwardsomecountermeasureandsuggestiontotheportlogisticsdevelopmentofDafengport.[Keywords]Dafengport;portlogistics;SWOTanalysis;grayforecastingmodel目录一、绪论..........................................................................................................................................1（一）研究背景、目的与意义...............................................................................................1（二）国内外研究综述...........................................................................................................2二、大丰港港口物流发展现状及SWOT分析.................................................................................3（一）大丰港港口物流发展现状...........................................................................................3（二）大丰港港口物流的SWOT分析.....................................................................................4三、大丰港货物吞吐量预测...........................................................................................................8（一）预测方法的选择...........................................................................................................8（二）预测模型的建立...........................................................................................................9（三）货物吞吐量预测及分析.............................................................................................10四、大丰港港口物流发展对策.....................................................................................................11（一）加快港口基础设施建设.............................................................................................11（二）完善后方集疏运体系.................................................................................................12（三）加快建设物流信息平台.............................................................................................12（四）加强和沿海港口之间的战略合作.............................................................................12...
