队号19题目B:北京市水资源短缺风险综合评价石家庄铁道大学数学建模竞赛论文领队教师:马祥旺2014年5月18日数学竞赛论文-1-一.摘要···································································································2关键词:···································································································2二.问题重述·····························································································3B题:水资源短缺风险综合评价···········································································3三.问题提出·····························································································4四.建模过程·····························································································4基本假设···································································································4符号说明·····························································································5问题一:···································································································61.构建模糊物元···················································································72.权重系数的熵值法确定·······································································73.权重求解及主要风险因子的确定···························································9结论··································································································12问题二·····································································································13问题三·····································································································15问题四·····································································································17分析思路·········································...