1 实 验 2 目 录 实验一 分析太阳黑子数序列··········································3 实验二 模拟 AR模型·················································4 实验三 模拟 MA 模型和ARMA模型····································6 实验四 分析化工生产量数据··········································8 实验五 模拟ARIMA模型和季节ARIMA模型···························10 实验六 分析美国国民生产总值的季度数据·····························13 实验七 分析国际航线月度旅客总数数据·······························16 实验八 干预模型的建模·············································19 实验九 传递函数模型的建模·········································22 实验十 回归与时序相结合的建模·····································25 太阳黑子年度数据··················································28 美国国民收入数据··················································29 化工生产过程的产量数据············································30 国际航线月度旅客数据··············································30 洛杉矶臭氧每小时读数的月平均值数据································31 煤气炉数据························································35 芝加哥某食品公司大众食品周销售数据································37 牙膏市场占有率周数据······························...