农业二元结构对中国农产品出口贸易的影响

农业二元结构对中国农产品出口贸易的影响摘 要 构建了二元经济结构下汇率变动对农产品进出口贸易影响的模型,并结合我国数据进行了实证分析。通过引入非农就业人口比重作为二元经济结构的代理变量,发现其是促进我国农产品出口和缓解贸易逆差的最重要的因素;此外,人民币贬值、外国加权 GDP 以及出口退税的增加将会促进农产品出口,而人民币升值、国内 GDP 的提高以及国际石油价格的上涨将会增加农产品进口。因此,解决我国农产品贸易逆差问题的有效办法是改善二元经济结构和放缓人民币升值速度。关键词：农业二元结构；人民币；农产品出口贸易ABSTRACTThe exchange rate of two yuan to build the economic structure changes on the influence of agricultural products import and export trade model, and carries out the empirical analysis with the data of china. Through the introduction of non-agricultural employment proportion of the population as the proxy variables of the dual economic structure, found the is to promote China's exports of agricultural products and ease the trade deficit of the most important factors; in addition, the devaluation of the RMB, foreign GDP weighted and export tax rebate increase will promote the agricultural products export, and the appreciation of the renminbi, increase of GDP and international oil prices will rise increased imports of agricultural products. Therefore, effective way to solve the problems of China's agricultural products trade deficit is two yuan to improve the economic structure and slowing down the pace of Renminbi appreciation.Key words: Agricultural two yuan structure; RMB; agricultural products export trade目 录摘 要.....................................................1ABSTRACT..................................................2第一章 绪论...............................................41.1 选题背景和选题意义..........................................41.1.1 选题背景................................................