国际经济与贸易-中美贸易战对双方农业影响的研究论文

中美贸易战对双方农业影响的研究【摘要】此课题主要探讨自 2018 年年底美国悍然挑起对中国的贸易战至今，双方农业的状况，以及对如何发展提出建议。收集双方政府官方公开的数据，整理行业相关新闻以及参阅相关学术文章。对中美农业代表性农产品大豆的进出口指标进行统计分析，运用 sas 进行数据预测。将数据进行梳理，分析及预测，促进有效的风险管制，防范重大冲突。文章主要运用图表分析法对比中美贸易战前后双边农业贸易数据，分析结果显示双方农业均受到一定程度的影响。同时暴露出两国农业结构的弊端。而两国要利用新形势发展农业，不仅需要各自对国内农业发展模式进行改革，也需要双方进行务实性的合作和建立良性竞争才能实现共赢。【关键词】农产品；进出口；大豆；趋势Study on the Impact of Sino-US Trade Wars on Agriculture of both side[Abstract] The paper focus on the situation of agriculture between the two sides and the suggestions on how to develop since the U.S. brazenly started the trade war against China at the end of 2018. I collect public government data, collate industry-related news and refer academic articles. Analyze the import and export index of representative agricultural products,soybeans, and predict the development by sas. Combing, analyzing and predicting the data can promote effective risk control and prevent the major conflicts. The paper mainly uses the chart analysis method to compare the bilateral agricultural trade data before and after the Sino-US trade war, and the analysis results show that both sides of agriculture are affected to a certain extent. At the same time exposed the shortcomings of the agricultural structure of them. In order to make use of the new situation to develop agriculture, not only the two countries need to reform their domestic agricultural development model, but also to carry out pragmatic cooperation and establish healthy competition in order to achieve win-win results. [Ke...