分散决策系统下的回购合同摘要随着科技的进步,信息技术的发展,和网络应用的不断扩展,全球的时间和空间的距离越来越小,推动了经济全球化的发展,供应链管理也受到越来越多的关注和应用。作为供应链管理的一部分,供应链合同研究是近年来供应链研究的一个热点。供应链合同中的激励策略在协调供应链方面具有重大意义,如分担供应链风险;影响零售商的预测决策;探知零售商预测所得的信息,以作出生产决策;协调供应链的利益分配。本文把焦点放在,由一个制造商和一个零售商组成的二级供应链,需求明显不确定,且预测对于减小需求的不确定性有重大意义的系统下的回购合同:制造商在销售季末以一定的价格将零售商的积压存货购回,描述回购合同的特征,并深入分析回购合同,零售商选择预测与否后,对制造商、系统利益和供应链协调的影响。关键词: 供应链合同;预测;回购合同;信息不对称;AbstractWith the development of information technology, and the extension applications of network, the distance of time and space are becoming smaller and smaller, and promoted the development of economic globalization, supply chain management has also been increasing interest and application. As part of supply chain management, supply chain contract research is top in the study of supply chain management in recent years. supply chain contract incentive strategies to coordinate the supply chain is of great significance: the forecast impact of retailer decision-making; Discovery retailer forecast income information to make production decisions. We focus on a two-stage supply chain which make up by a manufacturer and a retailer , demand significant uncertainty, and forecasting the demand for reducing the uncertainty of the system are significant under the buyback contract: manufacturers buy back the retailer inventory in a certain price in the end of the sales-season .we describe the characteristics of buy-back contracts, and in-depth analysis of buy-back contract. The retailer choose whe...