绵阳师范学院本科生毕业论文（设计）题目库尔勒市房地产市场发展趋势研究专业资源环境科学院部资源与环境工程学院学号2005100124姓名彭芳指导教师屈波讲师答辩时间二○○九年五月论文工作时间：二○○八年十二月至二○○九年五月题目来源：√自选题目资助课题库尔勒市房地产市场发展趋势研究学生：彭芳指导老师：屈波摘要：房地产业是国民经济的主导产业，在现代社会经济生活中占据重要的地位。库尔勒市是新疆巴州地区的一个重要城市，其房地产业起步较晚，近八九年来在西部大开发等政策的影响下迅速发展，但同时也出现了一些问题。文本首先阐述库尔勒市的环境概况及经济发展形势，分析库尔勒房地产市场发展的三个阶段，总结每个阶段的特点。利用SWOT分析法对库尔勒房地产市场现状的优势、劣势、机会、威胁进行分析。在对库尔勒房地产市场有全面了解的情况下，综合影响库尔勒房地产市场发展的众多因素，收集近九年房地产市场的有关数据，运用多元线性回归法分析模型分析各影响因子对库尔勒房地产市场的影响程度。得出对库尔勒房地产总收入与影响因子的拟合方程。根据影响因子的同比增长率，预测未来几年的房地产市场的发展趋势。计算结果可以为房地产管理和房地产市场提供参考和借鉴。对房地产持续健康发展有一定的意义。关键词：库尔勒；房地产；市场；影响因素StudyonrealestatemarketdevelopingtrendofKuerleCityUndergraduate:PengfangSupervisor:QuboAbstract:Realestateindustryistheleadingindustryofthenationaleconomy,occupyingtheimportantstatusinthemodernsocietyeconomiclife.ThecityofKuerleisanimportantcityinXinjiangBaZhouarea,itsrealestateindustrystartislate,andrapiddevelopmentunderpolicyofwesternbigdevelopmentinfluencesintherecenteightornineyears.butthereareproblemsatthesametime.ThetextelaboratetheKuerle’senvironmentsituationandtheeconomicaldevelopmentsituation.AnalyzetheKuerlerealestatemarketdevelopmentthreestages,andsummarizyeachstagecharacteristicfirstly.TheuseofSWOTanalysisthestrengths,weaknesses,opportunitiesandthreatwhichinKuerle’stherealestatemarketatpresent.AfterhasunderstandedsituationtotheKuerlerealestatemarket,CombinedanumberoffactorswhicheffectsonthedevelopmentoftherealestatemarketofKuerle.Thecollectionofnearlynineyearsofrealestatemarketdata,usingmultiplelinearregressionanalysismodelthatanalysistheimpactoffactorsontheimpactofrealestatemarketdevelopingtrendofKuErLeCity.Kuerledrawnonthetotalincomeandthefactorfittingequationimpactoftherealestate.Factorsaffectingthegrowthrateofthesameperiodlastyear,usingtheregressionequationthatcanpredictthetrendofrealestateoverthenextfewyears,Theresultsforrealestatemanagementandrealestatemarketprovideareferenceanduseforreference.whichhaveacertainsignificancesustainedandhealthydevelopmentforrealestate.Keywords:Kuerle;realestate;market;influencefactors目录0引言.............................................................................................................................11库尔勒市的概况.........................................................................................................11.1库尔勒的自然环境..................................................................................................11.2库尔勒的人文环境..................................................................................................11.3库尔勒市经济发展状况..........................................................................................22库尔勒市房地产市场发展现状.................................................................................22.1库尔勒市房地产的发展历程.....................................................
