目录一、重新认识市场..........................................................................................................................11.1大波动源于散户多、加杠杆.............................................................................................11.2对A股市场,投资者应有信心.........................................................................................31.3A股市场:激情到温情.....................................................................................................4二、2016年市场展望.....................................................................................................................62.1中国经济:增长缓慢下行.................................................................................................62.2政策:货币政策渐进宽松,财政政策更加积极.............................................................72.3改革:供给侧出清加快,市场化改革提速.....................................................................8三、行业情况..................................................................................................................................93.1政策支持............................................................................................................................93.2市场热度..........................................................................................................................103.3新能源行业......................................................................................................................123.3.1投资主题...............................................................................................................123.3.2个股推荐...............................................................................................................153.4医药行业..........................................................................................................................183.4.1行情和业绩回顾....................................................................................................183.4.2医疗行业发展的两个优势....................................................................................203.4.3投资预测——投资主题........................................................................................233.4.4投资策略...............................................................................................................243.4传媒行业..........................................................................................................................273.4.12015年市场走势回顾——行业表现持续向好...................................................273.4.2投资主题...............................................................................................................283.4.3投资策略...............................................................................................................36四、组合策略................................................................................................................................374.1确定投资者的风险承受能力与效用函数.......................................................................374.2确定各项资产在持有期内的预期风险与收益...............................................................374.3构造投资组合.........................................................................................