PowersystemplanningofficeNovember20101HIGHLIGHTSONPOWERSECTORDEVELOPMENTHIGHLIGHTSONPOWERSECTORDEVELOPMENTPROGRAMPROGRAM(2010TO2015G.C)(2010TO2015G.C)2BackgroundRapidandsustainableeconomicgrowthisthekeyobjectiveoftheEthiopianeconomicpolicy.Achievingthegoalofrapidandsustainableeconomicgrowthrequiresrapidandsustainabledevelopmentofkeysectorslikepower,roadetc..Thepowersectorisataninfantstage&isrequiredtogrowasfastaspossibletocopewiththeintendedrapideconomicgrowth.TheinterconnectedSystem(ICS)generationcapacityhasgrownsignificantlyinrecentyearsduetotheadditionofTikeze,GibeIIandBeles.Thesystemhastotalinstalledcapacityof1947MW,andanaverageenergygenerationcapabilityof6571GWh/year.Allofthiscapacityisnotavailabletosupplytheelectricitydemandduetoconstraintsinthetransmissionanddistributionsystems.Inthefiscalyear2010theconstrainedgenerationhasreachedto4013GWh.Duetothehugeeffortexertedonthegridbasedruralelectrification,thefigureforelectricityaccessreachedto41%ofthepopulationfromthe17%figurebackin2005.Per-capitaenergygenerationhasreachedto82kwh.(500Kwhisconsideredtheaverageminimumlevelofconsumptionper-capitaforreasonablequalityoflife).3Background...Thislevelofconsumptionper-capita(500Kwh)correspondstoannualelectricityconsumptionof40000GWhbasedoncurrentpopulationanditisaboutsixtimeshigherthanthecurrentelectricitygeneration.Thereissignificantgenerationresourceinaregionalcontext(especiallyhydropower)beyondownrequirementinthenearfutureandtobedevelopedforpowerexport.Ethiopia’shydropowerresources,whicharedistributedinninemajorriverbasinsandtheirinnumerabletributariesareestimatedtogenerate650TerraWattHour/yr(CESEN1986).Thetechnicallyfeasiblepotentialisestimatedtobe40%ofthetheoreticalpotentiali.e.260TWh/yr(45GWequivalentwith65%plantfactor).Thiswouldconstituteabout15%ofthetotaltechnicallyfeasiblepotentialofAfrica,whichis1750TWH/yr(Internationaljournalonhydropower&dams,2006).Inadditionthereisanestimatedgeothermalpotentialofabout5000MW.AlsothereareWindpower,Solar,CoalandNaturalgaspotentialstobeharnessedforelectricpowergeneration.Thelowestlevelofelectricityaccessandpercapitaconsumptioninitselfjustifiesthefastdevelopmentofthecountriesgenerationresources.4Background...Regionalinterconnectioninitiatives(EAPP,ENPTetc…)areonthevergeofimplementationwithassuranceofshorttermpotentialmarketforpowerexport.AtthispointthereisageneralconsensusthatthereislocalandpotentialregionaldemandtoabsorbthecapacityoffuturegenerationprojectsinEthiopia.Torecognizepotentialregionaldemandasactualhoweverrequiresthesigningofpowerpurchaseagreementinviewoffacilitatingthefinancingofmajorprojectsfrominternationalfinancinginstitutions.Financeandexecutioncapacityareconsideredtobetheonlysetbacksfordevelopmentofthepowersector,notthepowermarket.Theexecutioncapacityofthecorporationinallprocessareasisexpectedtobeimprovedthroughimplementationofthecorporatetransformationprogram.CairoAswanMeroweKhartoumRoseriesGedarefAsmaraDjiboutiBerberaHargessaNairobiM.WakenaGD-06GD-08KokaD.DawaShireBelesB.DarGonderShehediGG-IIIGG-IIGG-IFinchaaMandayaHVDCLink500kV400kV230kVSub-marineCable220kV230kVSubstationat230kVandaboveSubstationwithGenerationFacility(Switchyardat230kVandabove)TownAC/DCStation(Converter/Inverter)PossibleInterconnectionLineswithNeighboringCountriesSOMALILANDDJIBOUTITekezeMogadishuKisimayou370km465...