江苏省对外贸易与经济增长关系研究摘要：江苏省是我国市场化程度较高且发展开放型、外向型经济较早的东部沿海城市之一，这一经济大省对全国的经济发展有着举足轻重的作用。本文运用相关经济学原理、理论联系实践的方法来分析江苏对外贸易发展现状，指出阻碍对外贸易发展的因素，然后运用协整检验分析和格兰杰因果关系检验对2000-2013年江苏省各相关数据分析对外贸易对经济增长的影响。最后有针对性的提出了对策和建议。关键词：江苏省对外贸易经济增长AStudyontheRelationshipbetweenForeignTradeandEconomicGrowthinJiangsuProvinceAbstract:JiangsuProvinceisoneoftheearliercosstalcitieswhohashighdegreeofmarketizationandcarryieouttheopeneconomystrategicschemeearlier.ThisbigeconomicprovinceplaysadecisiveroleintheeconomicdevelopmentofChina.ThispaperUsestherelevantprinciplesofeconomics,thetheoryandpracticeofthemethodtoanalyzethecurrentsituationofJiangsuforeigntrade.Besidesthepaperpointsoutthatthefactorshinderingthedevelopmentofforeigntrade,andthenusestheCointegrationTestandGrangerCausalityRelationTesttoanalyszeoftheimpactofforeigntradeoneconomicgrowthinJiangsuProvincein2000-2013.Finallythepaperputsforwardthecountermeasuresandsuggestions.KeyWords：JiangsuProvinceForeignTradeEconomicGrowth目录一、文献综述....................................................................................................1（一）国外研究...........................................................................................1（二）国内研究...........................................................................................2二、对外贸易促进经济增长的机制..........................................................3（一）物质资本积累...................................................................................3（二）技术进步...........................................................................................4（三）产业结构优化...................................................................................4（四）人力资本积累...................................................................................5三、江苏省经济增长与对外贸易现状.....................................................5（一）江苏省经济增长现状.......................................................................5（一）江苏省对外贸易发展概述...............................................................8（二）江苏省对外贸易与经济增长关系的理论分析.............................13四、江苏省对外贸易与其经济增长关系实证分析............................16（一）变量时间序列平稳性分析............................................................17（二）江苏省对外贸易与经济增长关系的协整检验............................17（三）格兰杰因果检验概述....................................................................18五、江苏省对外贸易发展中存在的问题...............................................19（一）出口产品技术含量低.....................................................................19（二）外商投资企业比重过大.................................................................19（三）区域发展极不平衡.........................................................................20（四）进出口产业结构失衡.....................................................................20六、江苏省对外贸易促进经济增长的政策建议..............................21（一）鼓励创新先进，形成产业聚集地.................................................21（二）确保外贸增幅，保持持续发展..............
