浙江省旅游产业对经济增长的影响研究摘要：随着国家经济的不断发展，人们的生活水平不断提高，越来越多的人倾向于通过旅游来提升自己的生活质量，这样旅游业在国家的经济增长中就占据很重要的位置，旅游业的发展也在很大程度上带动了很多地区经济的发展。因此，分析旅游产业的发展与经济增长之间的关系，明确旅游产业在国家经济发展中的具体作用，才能为以后的发展奠定坚实的基础。本文通过国家统计年鉴和浙江省统计年鉴采集了2000-2016年的GDP、旅游外汇收入、旅游总收入等数据，采用格兰杰因果检验、协整检验等统计方法对浙江省旅游业发展近况进行研究，研究发现旅游产业的发展会促进区域经济增长，区域经济增长也会推动当地旅游产业发展，且实际旅游总收入每增加1%，实际生产总值就会增加约0.66%；实际旅游外汇收入每增加1%，实际生产总值就会增加约0.83%。关键词：旅游外汇收入；旅游总收入；GDP；格兰杰因果检验AnempiricalanalysisoftherecreationindustryinZhejiangforthedevelopmentofeconomicgrowthAbstract:Withthecontinuousdevelopmentofthecountry’seconomy,people’slivingstandardsareconstantlyimproving,andmoreandmorepeopletendtoimprovetheirqualityoflifethroughtourism.Thisway,tourismplaysanimportantroleinthecountry’seconomicgrowth.TourismThedevelopmentoftheeconomyhasalsoledtothedevelopmentofmanylocaleconomies.Therefore,theanalysisoftherelationshipbetweenthedevelopmentofthetourismindustryandeconomicgrowthandthespecificroleofthetourismindustryinthenationaleconomicdevelopmentcanlayasolidfoundationforfuturedevelopment.ThispapercollecteddataonGDP,tourismforeignexchangeincome,andtotaltourismrevenuefromtheNationalStatisticalYearbookandtheZhejiangStatisticalYearbook.TheGrangercausalitytest,cointegrationtestandotherstatisticalmethodswereusedtoevaluatethedevelopmentoftourisminZhejiangProvince.Researchesandstudieshavefoundthatthedevelopmentofthetourismindustrywillpromoteregionaleconomicgrowth,andregionaleconomicgrowthwillalsopromotethedevelopmentofthelocaltourismindustry.Whentheactualtotaltourismrevenueincreasesby1%,theactualGDPwillincreasebyapproximately0.66%;theactualforeignexchangerevenuefromtourismForevery1%increase,theactualGDPwillincreasebyabout0.83%.Keywords:tourismforeignexchangeincome;totaltourismincome;GDP;Grangercausalitytest目录.............................................................1..........................................................2................................................4................................................6.......................................6........................................9...................................................11.......................12.............................................13................................................13................................................14...............................14.................................................14...............................................15...............................................16.............................................17.......................................................17.......................................................17....................................................18...........................................................20...............................................................231引言旅游业是一个综合性产业，具有系统性、关联性、带动性的特点。旅游业的发展能够带动交通、住宿、餐饮、娱乐、购物等产业的发展，能更好地促进当地经济发展。旅游也是居民高质量的一种生活方...
