中国人均电力消费收敛性分析VIP免费

中国人均电力消费收敛性分析摘要：当今，经济的增长都伴随着能源消耗的增长，在一定程度上，人均电力消费能够适当反映经济增长情况。本文利用我国各省、直辖市和自治区 1985-2007 年间(1992-1994 年除外)的人均电力消费数据，先进行 σ 收敛分析，然后进行面板数据模型的检验选择，确定用固定效应模型对我国省市的人均电力消费进行古典收敛性分析。文章意在探讨中国地区之间的人均电力消费差异，从另外一个角度反映我国地区经济差异的变化趋势。实证分析发现中国人均电力消费收敛性不仅具有阶段性的差异，还具有区域性差异，特别的是在 1985-1991 年期间三大区域都存在显著的 σ 收敛和绝对 β 收敛。关键词：人均电力消费；收敛性；面板数据模型Abstract: Currently, the economic growth is always accompanied with the consumption of energy. Therefore, to some extent, per capita electricity consumption is one of the most suitable economic welfare indicators. The aim of this paper is to explore regional differences on this variable over the period 1985-2007(exclude 1992-1994), and to reflect the tendency of the regional economic difference from another angle. Firstly, the paper applies a σconvergence analysis, then it selects a suitable panel data model. Finally, the paper applies a classical convergence analysis by fixed-effects (within) regression model to a sample of 29 provinces and municipalities. We find that a traditionalσand β convergence process on per capital electricity consumption across regions has taken place over the period 1985-1991. Notwithstanding this, the interior convergence of regional per capita electricity consumption is different.Key Words: per capita electricity consumption, convergence, panel data model 一、引言改革开放后，中国经济整体上一直都在稳定快速的增长，但是不同地区之间经济发展也存在着差异。改革开放初期，由于实行一部分地方先富起来以带动其他地区发展的战略，中国地区经济出现了很大的不平衡，地区发展不平衡带来的众多弊端显现出来了。近些年来...