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Unit 1 EMU Has Exchange Rate Policy Implications for Transition Countries Seeking EU Membership[Key Words] European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) 欧洲经济货币联盟EMU reference values 欧洲经济货币联盟参考标准The new exchange rate mechanism (ERM 2) 新汇率机制IMF’s Fiscal Affairs Department 国际货币基金组织财政部The currency risk premium 货币风险溢酬Asymmetric real shocks 非对称性实际冲击An independent monetary and exchange rate policy 独立的货币汇率政策Macroeconomic stability 宏观经济稳定性Budget balance 预算平衡Synchronized cycles 同步的循环Biased toward agriculture and industry 偏重于工农业Non-core EU members 欧盟非核心成员国A managed float (exchange rate arrangement) 有管理的浮动汇率制An undeclared margin against the deutsche mark 钉紧德国马克，保持一个不公开的差额A pre-announced crawling peg 预先公布的缓慢钉紧汇率制度A currency board arrangement 货币局制度、联系汇率制度External current account 对外经常性项目账户The capital account 资本账户Legal reserve requirement systems 法定存款准备金制度Sterilized intervention 对冲操作The nominal exchange rate 名义利率Exchange rate regimes 汇率制度Appropriate flanking policies 适当的配套政策Containment of fiscal imbalances 遏制财政失衡A prudent monetary stance 审慎的货币政策Fixed parity 固定平价Purchasing power parity (PPP) 购买力平价Interest rate parity (IRP) 利率平价Gold parity 金平价Widen the official margins 放宽官方波动幅度Shadow the Euro unilaterally 单方面暗中钉紧欧元Full capital account liberalization 资本项目的完全放开 [Notes]1. Including convergence toward EMU reference values and adherence to the new exchange rate mechanism (ERM2) created for nonparticipating EU members.2. That is, those that have opted out, or been left out, of EMU.3. Albeit4. Entering the EMU currency area entails both cost and benefits for candidate countri...