出租车定价论文：基于系统动力学的城市客运出租车定价研究【中文摘要】出租车是城市客运交通系统不可缺少的部分,在城市客运交通市场的经营、发展和稳定中发挥着重要作用。出租车定价涉及政府、企业、驾驶员与乘客的切身利益,如何协调好不同利益主体间的关系,分析城市客运出租车定价的动态性、复杂性,是一个需要迫切解决的问题。本文在分析出租车行业不同利益主体间关系的基础上,基于系统动力学的理论构建了城市客运出租车定价模型,为出租车行业的健康发展提供有效的定价方案。论文分析了城市客运出租车定价影响因素,结合经济学理论阐述了出租车定价的组成和基本原理,调查了国内22个城市的出租车价格;对城市客运出租行业利益主体地位进行了重点阐述,剖析了政府管理部门、出租车公司、驾驶员和乘客等不同利益主体间的关系。基于系统动力学理论构建了城市客运出租车定价模型,以出租车服务水平和价格作为影响潜在出租车需求的因素,考虑了出租车行业各利益主体之间关系。通过分析出租车定价中各个系统模块结构、模块因素间的因果关系,建立了出租车定价的因果关系图和系统流图,构建了出租车定价系统动力学模型,并对所建模型进行了参数估计与有效性检验,验证了模型的有效性。结合对哈尔滨市出租车行业运营数据的调查,具体分析了起步价变化、里程价变化、燃油附加费变化、驾驶员工资变化等多种情景,发现出租车价格的变化对潜在需求影响呈上升趋势。并为哈尔滨市出租车发展提出了相关的政策建议,如采用电话叫车、实施信息化、调整价格、增加驾驶员工资等。【英文摘要】Taxiisanindispensablepartofurbanpassengertransportsystem,whichplaysanimportantroleinthemanagement,developmentandstabilityofurbanpassengertrafficmarket.Taxipricinginvolvesthevitalinterestsofthegovernment,enterprises,driverandpassenger,howtocoordinatetherelationshipbetweendifferentstakeholders,andanalyzethedynamic,complexityinfluenceofurbanpassengertaxipricing,isanurgentproblemtosolve.Basedontheanalysisofdifferentstakeholderrelationintaxiindustry,thispaperconstructsthemodelofcitypassengertaxipricingbythetheoryofsystemdynamics,providingeffectivepricingschemesforthehealthydevelopmentofthetaxiindustry.Thispaperanalyzestheinfluencefactorsofurbanpassengertaxipricing,thencombiningeconomicstheoryexpoundsthecompositionandbasicprinciple,andinvestigates22citiestaxipricinginChina.Emphasisonthestatusofmainbenefitbodyinurbanpassengerrentalindustry,analyzethedifferentstakeholdersrelationshipbetweengovernmentmanagementdepartment,taxicompany,driversandpassengers,etc.Basedonsystemdynamicstheory,takingthetaxiservicelevelandpricesaspotentialinfluencefactorsoftaxidemand,andconsideringtherelationsbetweentheinterestsubjectsoftaxiindustry,thispaperconstructsthemodelofcitypassengertaxipricing.Throughtheanalysisofcausalrelationshipofsystemmodulestructureandmodulefactorsoftaxipricing,establishthetaxipricingcausalitydiagramsystemandflowdiagram,notonlyconstructthedynamicsmodeloftaxipricingsystem,butalsotakeparameterestimationandvaliditycheckofthemodel.CombingtheoperationdataoftaxiindustryinHarbin,thispaperspecificallyanalyzesthechangeofstartingfare,fuelsurcharge,driverwagechangesandotherscenarios,andfindthatthechangeoftaxipricingshowedarisingtrendoninfluenceofpotentialdemand,thispaperalsoputsforwardrelevantpolicysuggestionsforthetaxidevelopmentofHarbin,suchasdial-a-ride,implementationofinformation,priceadjustment,andtheincreaseofdriver’ssalary,etc.【关键词】出租车定价利益主体系统动力学交通供需【英文关键词】systemdynamicstaxipricingstakeholderstransportsupplyanddemand【目录】基于系统动力学的城市客运出租车定价研究摘要4-5ABSTRACT5第1章绪论8-161.1研究的背景和意义8...
