本科论文摘 要利率和汇率在一国的经济运作过程中扮演者两个至关重要的角色，一国货币的国内外价格表现为利率和汇率,而利率作为货币市场的价格趋势指标，汇率作为外汇市场的价格风向标,共同对一国整体经济的运行与发展起到了重要的作用。将商品与金融市场、境内外市场有机地结合在一起是基于利率与汇率二者之间的传导过程,从而使三者共同构成了一个市场经济运行体系。基于利率平价说对利率波动与人民币汇率波动的研究,在一定程度上可以对我国利率和汇率政策的发展起到指导作用,帮助我国经济健康发展。首先，本文对人民币汇率各自代表的具体含义和近几年发展状况进行分析，并就其基于利率平价说有关内容得出相关结论。其次，对利率波动与人民币汇率的关系通过构建模型进行数据分析，对其模型进行有效性验证进而得出相关结论并给予有关建议。通过分析数据而得出的研究结果表明，利率与人民币汇率之间的直接相关性并不是很明显，因而判断出当前的我国货币的利率与汇率水平不能如实的反映当下我国经济的整体运营状况。但是利率作为货币市场重要的指标之一，可以帮助央行通过对实体经济的反应来修正汇率政策，总的来说，利率与人民币汇率的关系还是比较密切的。关键词：利率，人民币汇率，利率平价说本科论文AbstractInterest rate and exchange rate play two important roles in the process of a country's economic operation. The price of a country's currency at home and abroad is expressed as interest rate and exchange rate, while interest rate is the price trend indicator of the money market and exchange rate is the price vane of the foreign exchange market, which together play an important role in the operation and development of a country's overall economy. The organic combination of commodities, financial markets and domestic and foreign markets is based on the transmission process between interest rate and exchange rate, so that the three constitute a market economy operation system. Based on the theory of interest rate parity, the research on the fluctuation of interest rate and RMB exchange rate can play a guiding role in the...
