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2013中国行业年度报告系列之太阳能光伏年度报I目录行业概述......................................................................................................................1一、行业定义.................................................1二、行业在国民经济中的地位...................................2摘要......................................................................................................................4一、光伏行业发展预测.........................................4（一）我国光伏行业发展周期与景气判断..............................4（二）光伏行业运行分析与预测......................................4二、光伏行业政策分析与导向判断...............................8（一）我国光伏行业现有政策分析....................................8（二）我国光伏行业未来政策导向....................................8三、光伏行业银行信贷市场竞争分析.............................9四、光伏行业信贷政策建议与风险提示...........................9（一）信贷政策建议................................................9（二）信贷风险提示...............................................10第一章光伏行业发展环境................................................................................12一、国内经济环境分析........................................12（一）全国固定资产投资增速小幅下滑，电力投资持续同比下降..........12（二）全社会发电量增速大幅放缓，可再生能源发电量占比稳步上升......12二、行业政策环境............................................13（一）行业管理体制...............................................13（二）行业政策解析...............................................13（三）行业政策趋势...............................................16II年度报三、行业发展技术环境........................................18（一）光伏发电技术水平与趋势.....................................18（二）国内技术水平与趋势.........................................19第二章光伏行业供求分析................................................................................22一、国内光伏行业供求分析....................................22（一）总体供需规模...............................................22（二）分地区供需结构.............................................23（三）国内市场供求平衡状及价格分析...............................24二、全球光伏行业供求分析....................................24（一）总体供需规模...............................................24（二）分国别供需结构.............................................25（三）全球市场供求平衡状及产品价格分析............................30第三章光伏行业出口分析................................................................................33一、光伏行业总体进出口规模分析..............................33二、光伏行业出口结构........................................34（一）产品出口结构...............................................34（二）国际市场结构...............................................34（三）贸易方式结构...............................................35三、光伏产品出口均价........................................35四、光伏行业贸易摩擦分析....................................36第四章光伏行业上下游产业链分析...............................................................38一、上游行业................................................38（一）多晶硅.....................................................38（二）组件.......................................................46（三）硅片........