#MatthewBucklandwww.matthewbuckland.comGM:NewMedia,M&GOnlinefuturewebtrendsinnovationseries2007withjimmywalesIMGSRC:Flickr资料PPT中国PPT资源网www.1ppt.com收集提供,版权归原作者所有#thethingaboutpredictions...IMGSRC:Flickr#"Computersinthefuturemayweighnomorethan1.5tons."PopularMechanics,forecastingtherelentlessmarchofscience,1949#"Ithinkthereisaworldmarketformaybefivecomputers."ThomasWatson,chairmanofIBM,1943#"640Koughttobeenoughforanybody."BillGates,1981apocryphal#"Thereisnoreasonanyonewouldwantacomputerintheirhome."KenOlson,president,chairmanandfounderofDigitalEquipmentCorp.,1977#internetconnectivityDirtcheap,lighteningfast&“alwayson”internetComputerslight,dumbterminals:neednetconnectiontoworkMostapplicationsweb-basedforbestefficiencyIMGSRC:Flickr#alldigitaldeviceswillbeconnected&networkedFromyourcar,radio,phone,fridge...“alwayson”AnunconnecteddigitaldevicewillbeastrangethingWiMaxconnectedsunglasseswithvoicepromptedHUD?#riseofthemobileinternetRapidimprovementsinconnectivity&screensMobiletobedominantplatformforconnectingtonetworldwideJapan:happenedalready(mostlysurfwebthroughphones)Voicecallspoweredbyinternet&SMS/Texts->IMCellphoneselectronicwallets&banks=mainmethodofpaymentCitizensvoteforfirsttimeinelectionsviamobilephones?#riseofindividual&entrepreneurOpensource=unprecedentedaccesstocode&applicationsCheaptocreatebusinessonline&makeownmediaTeenagerinbasementsameopp.asworkerinbigcompanyEXAMPLE:Newmobileoperatingsystem(Android)?#stridesagainstdigitaldivideDevelopingworldjoinsdigitalecosystemviamobilephonesAlsobecomepartofeconomyviacellphonewalletMobilephonescheap&broadbandubiquitousIlliteracyissuesovercomebyvideo&audiostreamsCreatesnewareasofcollaborationandeducation#almostnoprivacyonthewebYourdatawillbeoutthereItwillbeokbecauseeveryonewillbeinthesameboatSeeingalreadywithsoc.networkingserviceslikeFB#theriseofthevirtualuniverseVirtualworldslikeSecondlifegomainstreamCometoforeasgraphiccards&broadbandimprovePotentiallyavisualalternativetotheworldwidewebStandards:differentworldsconnecttoeachotherseamlesslyVirtualcoupd’etatbySLcitizens?LindenLabscedesSLtodemocraticallyelectedvirtualgovt#informationpollution&overloadNextbigchallengeishowtomanagemassesofinformationPeoplewillcomplainabout"digitalfatigue“&digitalnoiseFocusondevelopingfilters&aggregators“Switch-off"holidaysregularlyprescribedbyyourdoctorRiseofanti-digitalmovementsurging“getbacktobasics”Inresponsetoclutter,asecondworldwidewebannounced#moregoogles&facebooksGoogle&FacebookfinallygetgoodcompetitionMicrosoftreleasesOScodeandgoesopensourceMSmakesrevenuebysellingadvertising&givingsupportAdvertisingismainbus.model(connectingsellers&buyers)FacebookbecomesavirtualOS/desktop,withMSinfluence#...andmedia?#mediadistribution&productionAllmediaeventuallydeliveredviainternetHardlyanyspecialistprint,tv,radiomediacompaniesleftAllfullyconverged,broadcasting&publishingviathenetMediaonmanydigitalplatformsMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIA#fragmentedmediaenvironmentNon-mediaplayersbecomedefactomediacompaniesMediaworldfilledwithnewcompetitorsCellphoneoperators,handsetmakers->mediacompaniesVodacomstopaggregating,startproducingowncontentOperatorsalreadybigmediacompanies(Voda:1,4musers)Battlebetweenmedia&cellphonecompaniesloomingMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIA#nowevery...
