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第七篇中国与WTO：十五年的渴望ChinaandtheWTO:the15-yearItch香港上海汇丰银行有限公司主席艾尔敦先生SpeechbyMrDavidEldon,Chairman,TheHongkongandShanghaiBankingCorporationLimited纽约香港协会早餐会HongKongAssociationofNewYorkbreakfastmeeting2002年4月25日MrDavidEldon:GoodmorningLadiesandGentlemen,艾尔敦先生:Istandbeforeyoutodaywithaconfessiontomake.ItrelatestosomethingthatIdidrecently.Exactlyonemonthago,IdeliveredaspeechtoanotherAmericanaudience.ItwasagatheringoftheAmericanChamberofCommerceinHongKong.ItalkedaboutHongKong'schangingrole.AndabouthowHongKongcancompeteasitbecomesincreasinglyeasierforforeigncompaniestodobusinessinChina.OnthatdayinMarch,Imadeseveralsuggestions.Oneofwhichwasthatwhentravellingoverseas,governmentofficialsandbusinesspeoplefromHongKongshouldspendmoretimesellingHongKongtothesceptics.Andlesstimespeakingtotheconverted.ConsequentlyIamheretoday,infrontofadecidedlyHongKong-friendlycrowd,indirectviolationofmyownadvice.Thatsaid,IplantoredeemmyselfbynotdevotingtoomuchtimetalkingaboutHongKong-atopicthatiswellknowntothisaudience.RatherIintendtoconcentrateonthelessknown.Inparticular,theimplicationsofChina'sentryintotheWTO.TheimplicationsforHongKongandtheimplicationsforforeigncompanies.Indoingso,Iamgoingtofocusmytalkonthreedistinctareasofknowledge:whatweknowweknow;whatweknowwedonotknow;and先生们，女士们，早上好！今天我站在这里，要向大家坦白。是关于最近我说过的一些话。一个月前，我向另一些美国听众发表了讲话。那是在香港的美国商会的一次聚会上。我谈到香港的角色正在发生变化。现在外国公司在中国开展业务越来越容易，所以我也谈到了在这种情况下香港怎样进行竞争。就在那一天，也就是在三月份，我提出了几点建议。其中一点是香港的政府官员和商业人员在去海外时应该多花些时间向那些对香港持怀疑态度的人宣传香港，而不要花太多时间和对香港友好的人谈论香港。所以我今天会站在这里，站在一群对香港极为友好的人面前，直截了当地违背自己提出的建议。既然这么说，我打算对自己说过的话作出补偿，不用太多的时间谈论香港-这个话题对于今天的听众来说已经非常熟悉了。我想多谈一些大家不太熟悉的东西。尤其是中国加入WTO所产生的影响，对香港的影响，还有对外国公司的影响。这样，我准备集中谈论三部分的内容:whatwedonotknowweknow.CommonknowledgeFirst,whatweknowweknow.WeknowthatChinameansdifferentthingstodifferentpeople.Tooverseasmanufacturingfirmsortradingcompaniesitis"thelandofabillionbuyersofshoes,carsandcomputers."ToforeigncompaniesalreadyinChinaitisaplacethatwarrantsexpansion.Infact,arecentsurveyfoundthatnineoutevery10foreigncompaniesoperatinginChinaplantoexpandtheirinvestmentinthenextthreeyears.Toforeignfinancialinstitutions-particularlythoseinterestedintheprovisionofwealthmanagementservices-Chinaisamarketwithenormouspotential.Afterallitisacountrywiththehighestrateofsavingsintheworld.Acountrywherereportedlymorethan80percentofthebankdepositsareheldin20percentoftheaccounts.TomyBankitisourbirthplace.ToyourPresidentitisa'strategiccompetitor.'AnotherthingweknowweknowandthisaudienceinparticularknowsisthatChina'sentryintotheWTOmeanstheroleofHongKongwillinevitablychange.HongKongwasoncetheonlygatewaytotheMainlandmarket.AvitallinkbetweenEastandWest.Betweendevelopedandless-developednations.Betweencapitalistandreformingeconomies.BetweenChinaandeverywhere我们知道自己已经了解的事;我们知道自己还没有了解的事;还有我们不知道自己已经了解的事众所周知的内容首先是我们知道自己已经了解的事。我们知道中国对于不同的人来说意味着不同的东西。对于海外的制造...