第 14 卷 第 6 期2007 年 11 月地学前缘(中国地质大学(北京) ; 北京大学)Earth Science Frontiers (China University of Geosciences ,Beijing ; Peking University)Vol. 14 No. 6Nov. 2007收稿日期 :2007 - 09 - 03 ;修回日期 :2007 - 11 - 01作者简介 :王涌泉(1927 —) ,男 ,教授级高级工程师 ,中国地球物理学会天灾预测专业委员会顾问 ,中国灾害防御协会灾害史专业委员会顾问 ,闽浙赣邻区集中暴雨防洪减灾信息网名誉理事长 ,从事日地水文与天灾预测研究已 49 年。1855 年黄河大改道与百年灾害链王涌泉黄河水利委员会 黄河水利科学研究院 ,河南 郑州 450003Wang YongquanInstitute ofHy draulic Research ofYellow River , Yellow River Conservancy Commission , Ministry ofW ater Conservancy ofChina ,Zhengz hou 450003 , ChinaWang Yongquan. Great change of lower Yellow River channel in 1855 and the disaster chain for 100 years more in the world.Earth Science Frontiers ,2007 ,14( 6) :0062010Abstract : Lower Yellow River was breached at Tongwaxiang and toward north through Shandong Province toBohai Sea in 1855 , which is the greatest disaster in the Huang2Huai2Hai Plain and the peak of global disasterchain for 100 years more , especially in East Asia and North America. This paper gives it a scientific and his2torical interpretation for the first time. The views set forth in the article may serve as a reference to the presentregulation of Yellow , Huai and Hai rivers and the important plain of China and to the research on geophysicalproblems.Key words : channel change of Lower Yellow River ; disaster chain ; double suspended channel ; continuousmuddy catastrophic floods摘 要 :1855 年黄河铜瓦厢决口北流 ,改道从山东入海 ,是一次百年灾害链形成的巨变 ,黄淮海平原成为中国水灾的中心。经研究发现 :1740 —1818 年为中国地震宁静期 ,黄河流域正处于干旱枯水期 ;1819 年印度卡其发生 813 级大地震 ,黄河出现多泥沙特大...
