下载后可任意编辑基于层次分析的奥运会成本超支风险评价讨论基于层次分析的奥运会成本超支风险评价讨论 摘要：本文引入美国运筹学家 T
saaty 提出的层次分析法，将影响奥运会成本超支的诸多因素分解成目标层、准则层、方案层，梳理层次关系
通过对各风险影响因素的计算和比较，得出不同风险的权重，其中自然灾害风险，经济危机风险，公共卫生风险占成本超支总风险的 60%，在为奥运会组织者控制成本超支风险提供更为有利、可靠的依据
Abstract： This paper introduces the analytic hierarchy method proposed by American operations researcher T
saaty ， which decomposes many factors that affect the cost overruns of the Olympic Games into the target layer， the criterion layers and the program layers
Through the calculation and comparison of various risk factors， the weight of different risks is obtained， among which natural disaster risk， economic crisis risk and public health risk account for 60% of the total risk of cost overrun ， which provides a more favorable and reliable basis for the organizers of the Olympic
