第 29 卷第 4 期Vol. 29 No. 4水摇 资摇 源摇 保摇 护WATER RESOURCES PROTECTION2013 年 7 月Jul. 2013DOI:10. 3969 / j. issn. 10046933. 2013. 04. 010摇 摇 基金项目:国家自然科学基金(51209071)作者简介:常 进(1988—),男,硕士研究生,研究方向为生态水文与水环境保护。 E鄄mail:825855653@ qq. comK鄄L PPC 模型在水资源可持续利用评价中的应用常摇 进,王卫平,陈摇 星,张其成,向摇 龙(河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京摇 210098)摘要:基于水资源可持续利用的内涵和意义,从水资源、社会经济和生态环境 3 个子系统建立水资源可持续利用指标体系;针对水资源可持续利用评价中各指标的不确定性和模糊性,为提高评价模型的分辨率,引入基于实数编码的加速遗传算法的投影寻踪分类(K鄄L PPC)模型。 以塔里木河源流区为例,通过优选指标、确立等级和构建模型,寻找最优的投影方向。 评价结果基本符合当地实际情况,验证了 K鄄L PPC 模型在区域水资源可持续利用评价的实用性。关键词:K鄄L PPC 模型;水资源可持续利用;RAGA;评价中图分类号:TV213郾 4摇 摇 摇 文献标志码:A摇 摇 摇 文章编号:10046933(2013)04005004Application of K鄄L PPC model to evaluation of sustainableutilization of water resourcesCHANG Jin, WANG Weiping, CHEN Xing, ZHANG Qicheng, XIANG Long(College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)Abstract: Based on the meaning and significance of the sustainable utilization of water resources, an index systemwas established by considering water resources conditions, social economy, and the eco鄄environment. Consideringthe uncertainties and vagueness of the evaluation indicators for the sustainable utilization of water resources, the K鄄L PPC model, based on the real鄄coded accelerating genetic algorithm, was developed in order to raise the resolutionof the evaluation model. A case study was conducted in the source area of the Tarim River. The optimal projectiondirection was determined through index optimization, grade determination, and model...
