第 29 卷第 2 期Vol. 29 No. 2水摇 资摇 源摇 保摇 护WATER RESOURCES PROTECTION2013 年 3 月Mar. 2013DOI:10. 3969 / j. issn. 10046933. 2013. 02. 011摇 摇 基金项目:水利部公益性行业科研专项(201001030);国家自然科学基金(51279060);江苏省青蓝工程(2008 年度);国家重点实验室专项(1069鄄50987112)作者简介:张又(1989—),女,博士研究生,主要从事水环境演变规律与水环境保护研究。 E鄄mail:zhangyou0103@ 163. com“引江济太冶调水中望虞河水质变化的规律张摇 又,刘摇 凌,姚秀岚,麻摇 林,赵摇 溦(河海大学水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏 南京摇 210098)摘要:将水质划分为 11 个级别状态,用改进的 Zadeh 公式对水质指标进行规格化,构造水质变化的概率转移矩阵,并编写 MATLAB 程序计算望虞河调水区及望虞河各监测断面的水质变化进步度。结果表明,“引江济太冶调水后,望虞河水质 1—6 月总的改善程度为 0郾 0372;由各断面的水质变化进步度可知,望虞河江边闸下断面处的水质改善明显,虞义大桥水质呈恶化趋势,从张桥断面以后水质改善程度逐渐增大;总体来讲,调水对望虞河水质的改善有明显影响,但望虞河西岸的重度污染区严重阻碍望虞河水质的改善。关键词:水质;进步度;调水;引江济太;马尔科夫模型;Zadeh 公式;望虞河中图分类号:X824摇 摇 摇 文献标志码:A摇 摇 摇 文章编号:10046933(2013)02005305Variation of water quality of Wangyu River during water diversion fromYangtze River to Taihu LakeZHANG You, LIU Ling, YAO Xiulan, MA Lin, ZHAO Wei(Sate Key Laboratory of Hydrology鄄Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)Abstract: The water quality was classified into 11 levels. The improved Zadeh formula was used to normalize thewater quality indicators. The probability transition matrix of water quality changes was constructed, and a MATLABprogram was written to calculate the degree of progress of water quality changes of the river as well as that of fivemonitoring sections. The results show that the total degree of improvement of the water quality in the Wangyu...