摘 要充分就业和经济稳定增长一直以来都是国民经济发展的宏观目标,而菲利普斯曲线则描述了失业率与通货膨胀率在不同的经济周期和通胀预期下的相互关系。本论文从中国经济结构现状出发,借助 Eviews 软件建立计量回归模型,并通过实证分析得出结论:通货膨胀率与失业率存在正相关关系,但菲利普斯曲线在我国失灵。关键词:菲利普斯曲线;通货膨胀率;失业率Abstract Full employment and stable economic growth have always been the macro goals of national economic development, while the Phillips curve describes the relationship between unemployment and inflation in different economic cycles and inflation expectations. Based on the present situation of China's economic structure, this paper establishes an econometric regression model with the help of Eviews software, and draws a conclusion through empirical analysis that there is a positive correlation between inflation rate and unemployment rate, but Phillips curve fails in China.Key words: the Phillips Curve,Inflation Rate,Unemployment Rate序 言21 世纪以来,中国经济发展迅速.然而,在快速发展的过程中,出现了成本驱动的通货膨胀趋势.低通货膨胀和低失业率两个目标经常发生冲突。在宏观经济学中,失业与通货膨胀的关系可用菲利普斯曲线来解释。因此,对其进行研究具有重要的现实意义,以解决我国的失业与通货膨胀问题。。本论文从中国经济结构现状出发,在理论与实际情况相结合的基础上,基于中国近 20 年以来的数据对失业率与通货膨胀率进行实证分析,重点探讨两者之间的关系,分析中国是否存在菲利普斯曲线。目 录1.通货膨胀和失业的概述...................................................11.1 通货膨胀的含义及衡量指标............................................11.1.1 含义............................................................11.1.2 衡量指标........................................................11.2 失业的含义及衡量指标................................................11.2.1 含义............................................................21.2.2 衡量指标及其说明.........................