下载后可任意编辑我国道路交通事故原因分析与对策讨论1下载后可任意编辑摘 要针对中国道路交通安全形势日益严峻的现状, 在分析中国城市道路交通安全特点的基础上, 从交通事故的发生因素出发, 分析讨论了道路交通事故的宏观规律、 微观规律、 交通事故的成因进行分析, 提出了道路交通预防理论及其实现方法, 并针对灰色 GM( 1, 1) 模型进行具体的实例分析。从安全系统工程的角度, 提出经过制定科学合理的城市道路交通安全管理规划和建立健全城市交通事故紧急救援系统、 加强交通参加者的交通安全意识、 综合协调道路－交通流－管理者之间的关系, 以消除道路交通系统中人的不安全行为和物的不安全状态。明确指出当前乃至今后交通安全的进展方向和趋势, 规划长远、 决策当前, 彻底改变当前交通安全工作的事后处理状态, 做到防患于未然。对提高交通安全宏观管理整体水平具有一定的借鉴作用和应用价值。关键词 交通事故影响因素 , 交通事故规律 , 交通事故预测 , 事故预防ABSTRACTAiming at increasingly serious road traffic situation in China, based on the characteristics of urban road traffic safety, and start with the occurrence mechanism of traffic accident, Analysis of the road traffic laws of the macro and 1下载后可任意编辑micro rules to analyze the causes of traffic accidents, proposed Prevention of road traffic theory and its implementation, And specific examples of gray GM (1,1) model, From the view of safety system engineering, unsafe human behavior and unsafe state of object in road traffic system could be eliminated by formulating scientific and rational urban road traffic safety management plan, perfecting urban traffic accident emergency rescue system, reinforcing traffic participants' safety awareness and comprehensively coordinating the relationship among roads, traffic flaw and road administrators. A clear view of current situation and development trend in future are described. "Planning the long-teem, while making decision at present" would realize the preven...
