GDP与居民储蓄对国债发行规模影响的实证分析

GDP 与居民储蓄对国债发行规模影响的实证分析摘要国债的首要作用是弥补出现的财政赤字，当然还具有筹集资金，进行宏观调控等重要作用。国债发行规模对经济发展具有两面性，既有积极促进作用，也具有消极阻碍作用。因此如何控制保持国债发行规模在我国经济可承受范围内就显得至关重要。为研究国债发行规模受那些因素影响，国内外学者专家进行了深入的研究，并取得了显著成果。国债发行规模受多种因素的影响，本文主要探究 GDP 与居民储蓄对国债发行规模是否具有显著影响，是否是国债发行规模的主要影响因素。运用Eviews10 软件构建多元回归模型，进行 t 检验、F 检验、拟合优度检验，实证分析结果显示 GDP 与居民储蓄对我国国债发行规模之间不显著。关键词：国债发行规模；GDP；居民储蓄Empirical Analysis of The Impact of GDP and Household Saving on The Issuance Scale of National DebtABSTRACTThe primary function of national debt is to make up for the financial deficit that appears, still have raise funds of course, carry on macroscopical control to wait for important effect. The scale of national debt issuance has two sides to economic development, both positive promoting effect and negative hindering effect. Therefore, how to control and maintain the scale of national debt issuance in the affordable range of our economy is very important. In order to study the influence of these factors on the scale of national debt issuance, scholars and experts at home and abroad have conducted in-depth research and achieved remarkable results.The scale of national debt issuance is affected by various factors. This paper mainly explores whether GDP and household savings have a significant impact on the scale of national debt issuance, and whether they are the main influencing factors of the scale of national debt issuance. The use of Eviews10 software to construct multiple regression model, t test, F test, goodness of fit test, empirical analysi...