信息与计算科学-多元统计分析在农业现代化水平中的应用论文

多元统计分析在农业现代化水平评价中的应用摘要 本文从农业现代化投入、农业现代化产出、农业产业化、农民现代化生活和农业可持续发展水平五个方面出发，共选取 12 个指标，采用主成分分析法和聚类分析法分析评价江苏省农业现代化发展水平。首先，分析 2003-2018 年的江苏省农业现代化发展水平变化趋势并给出评价，得出结论:2010 年以前江苏省农业现代化发展水平增速较大，几乎达到顶峰，其后历经三年的波折，直至2013 年后农业现代化平稳发展；其次，通过分析江苏省 13 个地级市的农业现代化发展水平，发现宿迁市的农业现代化发展水平居于首位，无锡市、淮安市和徐州市次之，属于基本实现农业现代化阶段；连云港市、苏州市、南通市、南京市、常州市和镇江市排名居中，处于农业现代化的初步实现阶段；扬州市、泰州市和盐城排名靠后，仍处在农业现代化起步阶段。关键词 江苏省 农业现代化 主成分分析 聚类分析 SPSSThe Application of Multivariate Statistical Analysis in Agricultural ModernizationAbstract This thesis adopts the method of both principal component analysis and cluster analysis to comprehensively measure the growth level of agricultural modernization in Jiangsu Province from the dimensions of agricultural modernization input, agricultural modernization output, agricultural industrialization, farmers' modern living standard and agricultural sustainable development, with 12 indicators. For one thing, it evaluates and analyzes the growth trend of agricultural modernization in Jiangsu Province from 2003 to 2018. The results show that years before 2010 have seen the modernized agriculture booming in Jiangsu Province, almost reaching the peak. Then it has experienced three years of fluctuation, and the development level of agricultural modernization tends to be stable after 2013. For another, through the analysis of Jiangsu’s 13 prefecture level cities in terms of their agricultural modernized level, it is found that Suqian is on the top of the list, followed by W...